Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.386125 0.445438 0.509882 0.584978 0.669956 0.763002 0.872464
2025-10-12 0.299842 0.384680 0.485774 0.614509 0.773404 0.962381 1.203368
2025-10-19 0.245976 0.341635 0.463685 0.629476 0.847254 1.121822 1.492172
2025-10-26 0.206481 0.306540 0.441678 0.635274 0.902780 1.256236 1.754767
2025-11-02 0.175103 0.275860 0.418970 0.633763 0.943878 1.370471 1.995486
2025-11-09 0.148671 0.247456 0.394418 0.624564 0.970286 1.463331 2.210559
2025-11-16 0.127558 0.223528 0.372593 0.615364 0.993528 1.550803 2.421544
2025-11-23 0.107923 0.198826 0.346030 0.594953 0.996327 1.606402 2.587366
2025-11-30 0.101782 0.195558 0.352794 0.627102 1.082163 1.791592 2.959240
2025-12-07 0.087940 0.176851 0.331643 0.610874 1.088366 1.853029 3.142951
2025-12-14 0.075943 0.159705 0.310974 0.592827 1.089058 1.904390 3.312359
2025-12-21 0.066407 0.145795 0.294286 0.579624 1.096038 1.965270 3.499584
2025-12-28 0.061445 0.140369 0.292829 0.594155 1.153323 2.115265 3.847020
2026-01-04 0.058693 0.139112 0.299152 0.623726 1.239951 2.321251 4.302900
2026-01-11 0.054575 0.134354 0.298040 0.638866 1.301120 2.486672 4.698729
2026-01-18 0.049965 0.127823 0.292557 0.644740 1.345062 2.623918 5.052809
2026-01-25 0.045203 0.120214 0.283905 0.643209 1.374299 2.735844 5.367455
2026-02-01 0.040337 0.111608 0.272097 0.633885 1.387230 2.818098 5.632397
2026-02-08 0.036044 0.103716 0.260886 0.624561 1.399070 2.898483 5.897792
2026-02-15 0.031461 0.094343 0.245195 0.603874 1.385770 2.929595 6.071802
2026-02-22 0.030830 0.095221 0.253295 0.636458 1.485582 3.185513 6.687768
2026-03-01 0.027254 0.087573 0.240276 0.620010 1.480044 3.233494 6.904162
2026-03-08 0.023990 0.080228 0.227076 0.601719 1.468802 3.268882 7.097117